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Official Box-Office Thread
Darth Ledger
Posts: 6,594 ✭✭✭✭✭
As you probably have figured by now I like a separate thread for Box Office tracking on a big movie, the DH2 thread (http://harrypotterforum.com/discussion/7563/deathly-hallows-part-2-currently-at-1-326-billion-updated-with-final-records#Item_1771) still being the most successful one I've ever created. Hunger Games fans know that tickets go on sale in less than an hour and the mania will begin. Sellouts being reported within weeks hopefully. Since this isn't an established property the Box Office should be a thrill ride to follow. Here's my official predictions as of now:
Midnights: $11 million
Opening Weekend: $81 million
Domestic Total: $217 million
Overseas Total: $285 million
Worldwide Total: $502 million
Here's an article to spice up discussion for now until the fun begins:
http://www.hypable.com/hunger-games/2012/02/20/research-indicating-hunger-games-to-outperform-twilight-opening-weekend-lionsgate-says-failure-is-not-an-option/
Quotage:
For Lions Gate, failure isn’t an option. “It can’t underperform; we can’t let that happen,” said Joe Drake, Lions Gate’s co-chief operating officer, who has shepherded the development of the franchise.
“One of the big objectives and goals of this campaign, something we worked on every step of the way, was selling books,” Mr. Drake said. “Because if you’re selling books, you’re selling movie tickets.” As part of National Literacy Month last year, Lions Gate helped sponsor an online giveaway of the first two chapters from “The Hunger Games.”
Early market research indicates the new film is likely to exceed the box-office results of the first “Twilight” film, according to a person familiar with the matter. That movie, released in 2008, grossed $69.6 million its opening weekend and went on to earn nearly $400 million world-wide.
Lionsgate Co-Chief Operating Officer Joe Drake also revealed that the male audience is growing rapidly:
“When we acquired the property, it was a young-adult novel, and since then it has clearly expanded its base into a four-quadrant picture,” Mr. Drake said, using Hollywood marketing-speak to refer to males and females, young and old.
Lions Gate has licensed “Hunger Games” lunchboxes, a replica bow modeled on one used in the film and at least 160 other toys, games and other memorabilia.
“Unlike ‘Twilight,’ this franchise is skewing more and more male every week in terms of Nook and Amazon sales,” said Joel Weinshanker, chief executive of National Entertainment Collectibles Association Inc., the company manufacturing the “Hunger Games” memorabilia. “The male buyers have really ratcheted up.”
Midnights: $11 million
Opening Weekend: $81 million
Domestic Total: $217 million
Overseas Total: $285 million
Worldwide Total: $502 million
Here's an article to spice up discussion for now until the fun begins:
http://www.hypable.com/hunger-games/2012/02/20/research-indicating-hunger-games-to-outperform-twilight-opening-weekend-lionsgate-says-failure-is-not-an-option/
Quotage:
For Lions Gate, failure isn’t an option. “It can’t underperform; we can’t let that happen,” said Joe Drake, Lions Gate’s co-chief operating officer, who has shepherded the development of the franchise.
“One of the big objectives and goals of this campaign, something we worked on every step of the way, was selling books,” Mr. Drake said. “Because if you’re selling books, you’re selling movie tickets.” As part of National Literacy Month last year, Lions Gate helped sponsor an online giveaway of the first two chapters from “The Hunger Games.”
Early market research indicates the new film is likely to exceed the box-office results of the first “Twilight” film, according to a person familiar with the matter. That movie, released in 2008, grossed $69.6 million its opening weekend and went on to earn nearly $400 million world-wide.
Lionsgate Co-Chief Operating Officer Joe Drake also revealed that the male audience is growing rapidly:
“When we acquired the property, it was a young-adult novel, and since then it has clearly expanded its base into a four-quadrant picture,” Mr. Drake said, using Hollywood marketing-speak to refer to males and females, young and old.
Lions Gate has licensed “Hunger Games” lunchboxes, a replica bow modeled on one used in the film and at least 160 other toys, games and other memorabilia.
“Unlike ‘Twilight,’ this franchise is skewing more and more male every week in terms of Nook and Amazon sales,” said Joel Weinshanker, chief executive of National Entertainment Collectibles Association Inc., the company manufacturing the “Hunger Games” memorabilia. “The male buyers have really ratcheted up.”
"If you make yourself more than just a man... If you devote yourself to an ideal... You become something else entirely- A Legend."
Post edited by [Deleted User] on
Comments
Midnights: $16 million.
Opening Weekend: $93 million.
Domestic Total: $207 million.
Overseas Total: $394 million.
Worldwide Total: $601 million.
I'm sure the second movie will be a success
just like twilight - new moon
Opening Weekend - $75 million
Domestic Total - $195 million
Overseas Total - $270 million
Worldwide Total - $465 million
Opening Weekend - $50 million
Domestic Total - $205 million
Overseas Total - $290 million
Worldwide Total - $495 million
After a decent opening weekend with positive reviews from critics and the public, the box office will explode.
I'm never very good at box office predictions, but here are mine and I'm only guessing for two:
Midnights: $10 million
O.W.: $62 million
Lucky bastard!
I go to buy tickets and we don't have showtimes yet!!!!! fml
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Just got my tickets for the midnight screening, going with some friends.
Mysterious thing time.
OMG DUDE WTF YOU GOTTA GO DAMN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :0 :0 :0
Mysterious thing time.
It doesn't hit theaters for another month, but The Hunger Games is already outselling every other movie on Fandango.
Advance tickets for The Hunger Games went on sale this morning, and already account for 83% of the site's sales today (according to E! Online).
Fans who pre-order their tickets for The Hunger Games online will receive a free download of the song "Tomorrow Will Be Kinder" by Secret Sisters, from the movie's soundtrack, "Songs from District 12 and Beyond."
Besides kicking off online ticket sales, today Lionsgate also announced plans for fans to camp out ahead of The Hunger Games premiere at the Nokia Theater in Los Angeles. 400 lucky fans camping out in "The Hob" area outside the theater will receive wristbands to stand alongside the red carpet and see the movie early.
I love that it's selling so well already!
Pretty impressive.
Get ready to hear a lot more about "The Hunger Games" than you ever expected. The adaptation of Suzanne Collins 2008 novel has been the center of tremendous hype ever since it was labeled the "next" "Twilight" franchise after Lionsgate acquired the big screen rights in 2009. However, with only 2.9 million copies in print the fan base isn't anywhere near the level Stephenie Meyer's franchise (116 million copies in print as of Oct. 2010). Well, much to even Lionsgate's surprise it appears lightening has struck twice and "Hunger Games" is about to ravage your local movie theater.
Opening in less than two weeks, pre-release polling has the Gary Ross film drawing more movie audience interest than the first "Twilight" which debuted to $69.6 million in 2008. In fact, while the studio is sticking by a $75 million projection for now, rivals say the data actually points to anywhere from a $130-150 million debut. That estimate puts the franchise in the gaudy range of "New Moon" ($142 million) and "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Pt. 1's" ($125 million) debuts. That figure would also break "Alice in Wonderland's" all-time March opening gross of $116 million which had the benefit of higher 3D ticket prices. "Hunger Games" will only be released in IMAX and conventional 2D theaters.
Needless to say, at the moment it looks like Lionsgate's $90 million gamble will pay off in spades and its no surprise the company locked a date for the sequel, "Catching Fire," for Nov. 22, 2013.
The rosy outlook is also affecting the films debuting the weekend after "Hunger Games"; "Wrath of the Titans" and "Mirror, Mirror." Both films appeal to different demographics, but are each polling around a $35 million opening. And, most likely, they'll be fighting for a distant second place to another huge "Hunger Games" gross in its second week. This has to be disconcerting for Warner Bros. after "Clash of the Titans" soared to $61 million two years ago, but no one in Hollywood thought "Games" could realistically come close to a $100 million debut so the date appeared "safe." Now? We'll have to see how far Sam Worthington can take a "Wrath" that's intended to be far superior than its predecessor.
If tracking stays on target, "Games" is also set to join "The Vow," "Safe House" and "The Lorax" as the fourth film to easily cross the $100 million mark in just the first tree months of 2012. What's more remarkable is that only one of those films is benefiting from those previously mentioned inflated 3D ticket prices ("Lorax").
"The Hunger Games" stars Jennifer Lawrence, Liam Hemsworth, Josh Hutcherson, Elizabeth Banks, Donald Sutherland and Woody Harrelson among others. It opens nationwide on Friday, March 23..
I would be okay though, with it beating out New Moon LOL
Actually...I don't think it will go that high, but I do think it will for sure pass Alice In Wonderland.
The crazy part is thinking what this means for Catching Fire's Opening Weekend.... :O
90 millions opening week-end
250 millions domectic
300 millions overseas
550 millions worldwide
That's my minimum.. with good vibe, critics and all, it'll be more
More than a thousand showtimes are already sold out across the country, from New York to San Francisco, from Maine to Hawaii. Theater owners are adding additional showtimes — some as late as 3:00 a.m. on Friday morning — to meet the demand for tickets, available at http://www.fandango.com/thehungergames/movieguide. The film’s advance ticket sales have already surpassed those of the first “Twilight” movie at the same point in that film’s sales cycle.
I still haven't bought my tickets yet. I don't know when I'm going to be able to go.
This says that IMAX screens are adding 3am showings because so many of the midnights have sold out. They're playing on 289 IMAX screens.
I'd love to see it in IMAX, but where it's only going to be there for a week, I won't make it. Oh well.
Reports that Hunger Games is going to open in 4000 theaters.